How likely is a Zuma-led ANC rebellion to oust President Ramaphosa?

How likely is a Zuma-led ANC rebellion to oust President Ramaphosa?

Editor's Note: Reports have been floating around claiming Jacob Zuma and his loyal ANC followers are planning to oust President Cyril Ramaphosa. How true are these rumours and what will happen if there is truth to it? Briefly.co.za took a look at what The Daily Maverick had to say on this prickly matter.

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Since January 2018, forces within the ANC have been trying to torpedo the top leadership of the ANC. Then, Vincent Myeni of the party’s Moses Mabhida region summonsed its Top Six to court, claiming electoral irregularities at its watershed conference in December 2017, which saw Cyril Ramaphosa claim a narrow victory of just 179 votes.

At the weekend, the Sunday Times published this bombshell photograph of former president Jacob Zuma with the ANC’s Secretary-General and former Free State premier Ace Magashule at the Maharani hotel in Durban – reportedly for a meeting to plot to oust his successor President Cyril Ramaphosa. They are joined by former North West premier Supra Mahumapelo who faced a party putsch earlier in 2018, and the ANC Women’s League secretary-general, Meokgo Matuba.

These parties are planning to contest the ANC conference outcome, reported Qaanitah Hunter and Jeff Wicks. In Zuma’s hand is a file, presumably containing the master plan.

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How big is the fightback against Ramaphosa and how likely will the plan be to get rid of him?

Ramaphosa has faced off against a faction coalescing around the remnant authority of Zuma since January.

He has faced repeated threats of removal or recall. The only meeting where a motion of no confidence in an ANC president can happen is a national general council, which is held between national conferences.

The next one is slated only for early in 2020, but the faction opposed to Ramaphosa has already repeatedly raised the threat.

At the heart of the faction destabilising Ramaphosa are parts of the KwaZulu-Natal party leadership (still a powerful heartland of the ANC) as well as groups in the North West and the Free State provincial wings of the ANC.

The architects of the fightback are symbolised by Zuma, Magashule and Mahumapelo, along with the support of the Women’s League, although Matuba may be there because she is also a power-broker from the North West.

How big a threat is a fightback?

A court battle to contest Ramaphosa’s victory at its national conference will come to nought. The election results were checked and re-checked. At issue are just over 100 votes of delegates who did not pitch up to vote or who were not on the voters’ roll – but an exhaustive audit showed that even if counted, these votes would not have changed the outcome.

READ ALSO: Mmusi Maimane threatens Ramaphosa with lawsuit over Eskom’s R33 billion Chinese loan

Read the rest of The Daily Maverick's opinion on this alleged plan to oust President Ramaphosa on dailymaverick.co.za.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed here are those of The Daily Maverick and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Briefly.co.za.

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Source: Briefly.co.za

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