Who would win the elections if South Africans had to vote tomorrow?

Who would win the elections if South Africans had to vote tomorrow?

Who would win the South African elections if we had to head to the polls tomorrow? A new report on voters' perception, by Afrobarometer, was released, which interviewed 1 800 South African adults.

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The SA Afrobarometer team, led by the Institute for Justice and Reconciliation and Plus 94 Research, said the results yield a country-level outcome with a +/-2 percentage points margin of error at a 95% confidence level.

According to the survey, the results revealed:

  • 48% of South Africans said they would vote for the ANC if elections were to be held tomorrow.
  • The DA and EFF would receive 11% of the votes in this scenario.
  • Other parties would receive a combined 4% of the votes.
  • 27% of South Africans said they wouldn't vote, or refused to answer the question.

In 2015, The ANC received the same proportion in Afrobarometer’s survey, In 2011, in the same survey, the ANC sat at 55%.

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The DA seems to be losing votes

In comparison to the 2015 survey, the DA has lost some major ground.

In the previous survey, 17% of South Africans said they would vote for the party.

This year, the survey revealed that the EFF is on par with the DA, which was previously considered the biggest opposition party in the country.

Where does the ANC stand in comparison?

In rural areas, the ANC still has a massive stronghold.

  • Here, 59% of the poeple surveyed said they would vote for the ANC, compared to just 43% in cities.
  • Meanwhile, the DA tripled its stronghold in rural areas to 4%, compared to 14% in cities.
  • The EFF has an equal share in rural and urban areas, at 11%.

This may not come as a surprise, but the only area where the ANC does not have a stronghold is in the Western Cape.

  • In this province, the DA has 31% of voters' support, while the ANC only has 23%.
  • Areas where the ANC still has a stronghold are the Eastern Cape (69%), Mpumalanga (65%), Limpopo (60%), and North West (55%) provinces.
  • In the Western Cape, however, 39% of those surveyed refused to answer, said they wouldn't vote or didn't know who to vote for.
  • In KwaZulu-Natal, 34% of people refused to answer, said they wouldn't vote or didn't know who to vote for.

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Scrap elections completely?

In an astonishing finding, the survey revealed the majority of South Africans won't mind giving up elections completely, if they receive descent service delivery by government.

  • 62% of those surveyed said they were willing to give up elections if a government of leader, which has not been elected, provided housing and jobs, as well as impose good law and order.

Briefly.co.za gathered that this revelation may give insight into citizens' disappointment with the performance of the current government.

According to a report by BusinessTech, just 22% of South Africans believe the current government is doing a good job at providing job opportunities, while less than 30% of respondents are happy with the state's efforts to improve the poor's living conditions and standards.

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Source: Briefly.co.za

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