A political analyst has predicted that the ANC will lose Gauteng in the upcoming elections.
While the ruling party is still expected to win a majority overall, expert Aubrey Matshiqi warns that its support is dwindling in several provinces.
The DA has clearly picked up on this. The party has declared that it will win the Western Cape, Northern Cape and Gauteng when voters go to the polls.
Matshiqi added that Gauteng would likely come under the control of a coalition of parties on May 8. He said this was part of a long trend of declining ANC support, which is expected to continue over the next few years.
For example, the ANC won 64% of the vote in Guateng in 2009, but then dipped to 53% in 2014, according to The Citizen. Now, it may not get the 50% needed to govern.
Potentially adding to the ANC's woes is the DA's candidate for Gauteng premier, Solly Msimanga. Msimanga has been active on the campaign trail since resigning from his position as Tshwane mayor. Msimanga, who had a relatively successful term as mayor, may also pull support away from the ANC candidate.
Similarly, the EFF has been gaining support at the expense of the ANC in provinces like Limpopo and North West, meaning that the ruling party could, for the first time, find itself out of power in three provinces.
The only question is what the governing coalitions will look like.
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