- A new poll shows the EFF gaining support nationally, while the ANC's vote share declines
- It also suggests that the DA's control of the Western Cape could be slipping
- The results of the survey are not an election prediction, however
The Institute of Race Relations has released its Criterion Report surveying public opinion ahead of the May 8 elections.
The survey suggests that the DA's grip on the Western Cape may be loosening and that the ANC's support in Gauteng is on the decline.
It also predicts that the EFF will see electoral gains nationally.
The survey found that the ANC is polling at 49.5% nationally, with the DA at 21.3% and the EFF at 14.9%. Additionally, the Report found a slight increase in support for the DA among black voters, according to News24.
These statistics conflict with other polls, however. The DA's internal poll, for example, places the party's national vote share at between 24% and 26%, Briefly.co.za has gathered.
Notably, the IRR poll suggests that the DA will actually lose support in the Western Cape, which has long been a stronghold for the party.
The Report indicates that DA support in the province is down to 44.6% from 50.1%. If this trend continues on election day, the party may lose control of their flagship province.
IRR has stressed that the Report is not a prediction nor a guaranteed vision of how the election will play out. With just over a week to go and many voters still undecided, the final results are sure to differ at least somewhat from those indicated by the polls.
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