- The nation is preparing to officially inaugurate President Cyril Ramaphosa - his 'New Dawn' is finally here
- However, he doesn't operate in a vacuum, despite the vast powers granted to him by the Constitution, so there will be limits as to what he will be able to pull off
- Briefly.co.za has a look at the three possible outcomes of the ANC leader's time at the helm of the country
When former president Jacob Zuma was ejected from office before the end of his term, President Cyril Ramaphosa took the opportunity, encouraged by his advisers, to prepare for this very moment in time.
Biding his time, reviewing policies and preparing to select his Cabinet, the ANC leader has had ample time to prepare for his first full term in office.
Now, with the elections over and his inauguration fast approaching, Briefly.co.za has a look at the three different ways Ramaphosa's much-anticipated 'New Dawn' could play out:
1. Time to take charge:
In this scenario, Ramaphosa is free to implement the changes needed to ensure a functional state, enforce accountability and breathe life into our fracture economy. However, this can only be done if he manages to get Luthuli House to cooperate, reports News24.
The ruling party's internal mechanisms are where South Africa's success and failure is for the most part determined. Knowing this, Ramaphosa will need to maintain a firm grip on the leadership in the ANC.
Either by strengthening his coalitions to isolate and contain Secretary-General Ace Magashule (or entirely replacing him due to criminal prosecution against him), Ramaphosa will have to exert his authority in the ANC.
This would enable him to tackle SA's problems with conviction, ensuring the finance minister and Treasury have the ability to implement policies to halt the current economic decline.
State-owned entities will need restructuring, with private equity injecting life into the crippled structures. The bloated public sector wage will would need trimming, which could see Ramaphosa losing political support.
With Cabinet cut down to size, vanity ministries discarded and techocrats appointed in key positions, government will be functioning once more.
If successful, the NPA and SARS will naturally pave the way to accountability and good governance.
2. Paddling on
In this sequence of events, Ramaphosa fails to take charge of his party, with no political power of conviction to implement the changes South Africa needs.
The president will remain in a deadlock with Magashule and Luthuli House, still being able to slightly reform government but mostly just cosmetic niceties.
Economic growth stagnates and then deteriorates and the system will remain pressurised, dysfunctional and with limited reform.
3. Same old, same old
The worst case scenario would see Ramaphosa unsuccessfully reviving the soul of the ruling party.
With Magashule gaining the power base and influence he needs to hold the president down to his own expectations, Ramaphosa's 'New Dawn' would resemble the time under Zuma's reign.
Reform will fail to take hold in government, Cabinet will remain a means of patronage and networks allowing for looting and corruption will remain intact.
The NPA and SARS will be undermined to protect the corrupt, with the economy shrinking and the GDP nose-diving. The criminal justice system will malfunction, and no reform is achieved, despite all the promises of a new page being turned.
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